Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.177864 0.203279 0.231662 0.265821 0.305965 0.351821 0.408422
2025-12-07 0.135695 0.168552 0.208993 0.262917 0.333667 0.424350 0.551030
2025-12-14 0.112785 0.148722 0.196192 0.264512 0.362024 0.498841 0.710134
2025-12-21 0.096875 0.133823 0.185413 0.264346 0.385027 0.567633 0.874945
2025-12-28 0.086961 0.125004 0.180730 0.270683 0.416911 0.653881 1.085836
2026-01-04 0.078602 0.116907 0.175384 0.274314 0.444135 0.736934 1.311465
2026-01-11 0.071872 0.110191 0.170893 0.278048 0.471426 0.824689 1.568202
2026-01-18 0.066950 0.105580 0.168929 0.285348 0.505759 0.931682 1.892591
2026-01-25 0.061718 0.099756 0.164058 0.286516 0.528549 1.020787 2.205092
2026-02-01 0.057013 0.094237 0.158934 0.286267 0.548229 1.107350 2.538313
2026-02-08 0.052545 0.088618 0.152905 0.283282 0.561583 1.182890 2.868746
2026-02-15 0.048523 0.083363 0.146905 0.279412 0.572219 1.254393 3.212684
2026-02-22 0.046226 0.081084 0.146338 0.286796 0.609757 1.400404 3.826239
2026-03-01 0.042786 0.076334 0.140496 0.282270 0.619249 1.479467 4.273923
2026-03-08 0.040351 0.073262 0.137615 0.283757 0.643458 1.603500 4.920975
2026-03-15 0.037991 0.070104 0.134202 0.283532 0.663385 1.721190 5.601983
2026-03-22 0.036502 0.068530 0.133884 0.290399 0.703048 1.907170 6.630915
2026-03-29 0.034880 0.066529 0.132431 0.294337 0.735717 2.081802 7.713691
2026-04-05 0.033399 0.064681 0.131104 0.298389 0.769631 2.271066 8.974355
2026-04-12 0.032318 0.063575 0.131298 0.306315 0.816577 2.519567 10.674932
2026-04-19 0.030842 0.061490 0.129052 0.307582 0.843900 2.708476 12.216357
2026-04-26 0.029379 0.059309 0.126366 0.307312 0.866527 2.888270 13.847438
2026-05-03 0.027843 0.056842 0.122767 0.304071 0.879077 3.034173 15.403640